Now two charts separated by nearly half a century tell the same story: parabolic tops, lower highs, and broken support. Together they show how MicroStrategy’s Bitcoin bet increasingly trades like gold did after its brutal 1980 reversal.
GOLD 1980 and MSTR 2025 Show Matching Post-Bubble Patterns
A chart comparison highlights how MicroStrategy’s 2025 structure mirrors gold’s post-parabolic breakdown in 1980. Both charts show a vertical blow-off top followed by a clear lower high and a decisive failure of support.
GOLD 1980 vs MSTR 2025 Chart. Source: Bracco on X
Under the pattern, price first collapses from the peak, then attempts a recovery that stalls below the prior high. That lower high becomes the pivot that confirms sellers still control the trend. Gold followed this structure in mid-1980 before sliding for years. MicroStrategy’s chart now shows the same sequence, with the lower high appearing just under the spring peak and the latest candle breaking below the major horizontal level near 232 dollars.
As the breakdown continues, the resemblance underscores how both assets lost upward momentum after a parabolic move. The structural alignment between a historic commodity top and a modern equity linked to Bitcoin shows how speculative cycles often repeat.
MSTR Extends Slide as Chart Targets 200-Week Moving Average
Meanwhile, MicroStrategy’s weekly structure continues to break down, and the latest chart shows price pushing straight through key Fibonacci retracements. The move now places the 200-week moving average near 140 dollars in focus as the next major test.
MSTR Weekly ABC Structure. Source: The Long Investor
The chart outlines an ABC corrective structure that began after the parabolic peak earlier in the year. Wave A broke the rising trendline. Wave B failed under the prior high and formed a lower high. Now Wave C is driving the decisive leg lower, with candles slicing through the 0.5 and 0.618 retracement levels at 276 dollars and 213 dollars. The speed of the decline highlights how momentum shifted once support gave out.
At the same time, long-term trend measures confirm the weakness. The 200-week average sits far below current price, yet the slope suggests the market may retest it if selling pressure continues. The analyst who shared the chart warned about this setup months ago, calling the downside “obvious” once the structure broke.
To add context, Peter Schiff pointed to MicroStrategy’s broader performance. He said Bitcoin is down about five percent this year, while the Nasdaq is up seventeen percent and gold fifty-three percent. He noted that MicroStrategy is down thirty-five percent in 2025 and sixty-five percent from its November 2024 high, underscoring how far the stock has fallen during this phase.