Investors and traders want to know whether they will be able to make money on coins and try to lift the veil of mystery with the help of market analysis and other tools.
What's happening to bitcoin
2025 is a year after halving and one of the most significant events in the history of the crypto industry - the launch of spot bitcoin-ETF trading in the United States. The instrument brought BTC to the attention of institutional investors.
The cryptocurrency has started the year with a new high. As of the time of writing the review, BTC peaked at $109,114 on January 20, 2025. However, after setting the peak, the cryptocurrency began to decline. In many ways, the fall of the crypto market in late February, early March 2025 was facilitated by the trade war unleashed by Donald Trump.
On the other hand, bitcoin may receive support thanks to the initiative on the formation of a bitcoin reserve in the United States. According to preliminary dThe formation of bitcoin reserve, even if the authorities will not buy new coins for it, is a positive for the market. The fact is that if the initiative is implemented, the U.S. will refuse to sell cryptocurrency, which means that the threat of selling such a large volume of coins will disappear.
From the point of view of the theory of cyclical behavior of bitcoin, the cyclical maximum value of BTC can be fixed in late summer, early fall 2025. In the chart below, the trajectory of the coin's behavior after the 2024 halving is shown in black. If we compare bitcoin's behavior with movements in cycles after previous halwings, we can assume that the cryptocurrency is facing growth prospects.
Bitcoin Chart Analysis
The bitcoin price has shown significant volatility with sharp price spikes. After reaching an all-time high near $110,000 in January 2025, there has been a correction. This behavior may indicate market uncertainty or consolidation after a strong bullish trend.
The MACD indicator is showing a negative value (-253), which indicates a bearish trend as the short-term moving average is below the long-term moving average. The histogram, which shows the changes in the dynamics, is also pointing downward, which confirms the decrease of the bulls' strength and the increase of bearish pressure.
The trading volume fluctuates significantly, with periods of very high activity. At the moment the trading volume has fallen, which may indicate that investors are not confident in the growth prospects of the asset in the near future. Perhaps this is part of the correction phase.
Bitcoin Price Forecast for 2025
Alex Ryabin, an independent analyst, correctly predicted the update of bitcoin's peak value at the beginning of the year. By the end of 2025, with positive regulatory changes, he expects BTC to be worth more than $150k.
Also participating in the discussion was Merkul Pereschian, CEO of TechBite. He correctly predicted the market correction at the beginning of the year amid unmet expectations of crypto community participants. Many expected the market to grow under Trump, but the trade war unleashed by the president disrupted the plans...
In the medium term (6-9 months), according to our interlocutor, growth is likely due to increased investment and support for the technology sector.
According to him, in 2025, bitcoin may test $120 thousand in the first half of the year. By the end of the year, according to the expert, the BTC rate will fluctuate between $100,000 and $150,000, depending on the market situation and US policy.
Also his bitcoin forecast for 2025 was given by Kate Rizhanova, director of communications and PR EMCD. He believes that BTC could show a new ATH this year. He called the target for the cryptocurrency the $120,000 level. He believes that Trump's initiatives, demand for ETFs, regulators' work to legalize digital assets, and the authorities' interest in forming bitcoin reserves will help support the growth of the cryptocurrency. That said, Kate Rizhanova warns that corrections are inevitable.
"Closer to summer, as it always happens, the market will face a seasonal correction. The altcoin market is waiting for a lull, which may well last until November-December," our interlocutor summarized his bitcoin 2025 forecast.
Ryan Lee, chief analyst at Bitget Research, joined the discussion. He doesn't rule out bitcoin rising above $200,000 in 2025.
