Market confidence in Dogecoin reaching a new record high has collapsed. Prediction markets now assign less than 1% probability to the meme cryptocurrency hitting fresh peaks before year-end. The sharp decline marks one of the steepest sentiment shifts recorded for the token in 2025.
Trading data from Polymarket shows that the contract tracking whether Dogecoin will exceed its all-time high before December 31, 2025, has generated over $1.12 million in volume. Market participants have dramatically reduced their expectations after months of bearish price action.
Earlier in 2025, traders maintained considerably higher optimism. Probabilities fluctuated between 5% and 20% during the first half of the year. The downturn accelerated in late October and continued through November into early December. Market sentiment now reflects near-zero confidence in a rally toward the 2021 peak of approximately $0.73.
Source: Polymarket
Technical Indicators Point to Continued Weakness
Dogecoin traded at $0.1460 as of press time, posting a 3.28% decline over 24 hours. The token remains down 3.62% on the weekly timeframe. Technical analysis reveals concerning signals for potential recovery.
DOGE price chart, Source: CoinMarketCap
The current price sits well below the 50-day simple moving average of $0.1655. The distance from the 200-day SMA at $0.2051 appears even more pronounced. Both indicators suggest sustained downward pressure and potential resistance ahead without significant momentum shifts.
The 14-day Relative Strength Index stands at 47.50, indicating neutral territory. This positioning shows neither oversold conditions that might trigger a rebound nor overbought pressure suggesting further decline. Market technicians interpret this as potential sideways consolidation in the coming sessions.
