Bernstein Forecasts Staking Yield for Ethereum ETFs in the US

Bernstein Research predicts Ethereum ETFs may include staking yields under a more crypto-friendly SEC.

ethereum

The cryptocurrency market is currently experiencing significant shifts in investment trends, with Ethereum (ETH) and XRP standing out as pivotal forces driving this transformation. In the year 2024, investment funds focused on ETH achieved remarkable milestones, breaking previous records by attracting an impressive $2.2 billion in net inflows. This surge in investment suggests a renewed sense of confidence among investors regarding the potential of this digital asset. At the same time, XRP has also made headlines, witnessing its largest-ever inflows, which approached nearly $100 million. 

This surge in interest comes amid growing anticipation surrounding potential regulatory advancements and exciting new product launches that could further enhance XRP's market position. 

Ethereum ETF

Ethereum ETFs with Staking Yield Could Revolutionize US Crypto Market: Bernstein Report

United States-based Ethereum exchange-traded funds (ETFs) may soon offer staking yield, a move that could significantly enhance their appeal to investors, according to a Dec. 2 report by Bernstein Research. The report suggests that under a more crypto-friendly leadership within the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), Ethereum staking yields could gain regulatory approval, setting the stage for a transformative development in the burgeoning cryptocurrency ETF market.

Ethereum staking involves locking Ethereum (ETH) as collateral with a network validator on the Ethereum blockchain. This process enables stakers to earn payouts from network fees and other rewards. However, staking also comes with the inherent risk of "slashing," where ETH collateral may be forfeited if the validator engages in improper behavior.

As of Dec. 2, ETH staking yields an approximate annualized return of 3.1%, according to StakingRewards.com. Bernstein analysts predict that staking yields could climb to 4–5% during periods of elevated activity on the Ethereum blockchain, adding a significant incentive for ETF issuers and investors alike.

The SEC’s current restrictions prevent spot Ethereum ETFs from staking ETH for additional yield, despite numerous requests from leading issuers such as Fidelity, 21Shares, and Franklin Templeton. However, with US President-elect Donald Trump set to take office on Jan. 20, 2025, the regulatory landscape may be poised for a seismic shift. Trump has vowed to position the United States as the “world’s crypto capital,” a vision that aligns with his reported intention to appoint crypto-friendly leaders to key financial regulatory roles.

Bernstein analysts anticipate that this change in leadership could accelerate the approval of staking yields for Ethereum ETFs, a move that would provide investors with a more lucrative and diversified product offering.

Ethereum Fundamentals and Market Sentiment

Ethereum, often regarded as the second-most prominent cryptocurrency after Bitcoin, has experienced fluctuating performance in recent years. However, the report highlights a notable resurgence in investor interest, as evidenced by record-breaking inflows into Ethereum investment funds.

In 2024, ETH-focused funds witnessed net inflows totaling $2.2 billion, surpassing the previous record of $2 billion set in 2021. This trend signifies a renewed sense of optimism among investors, according to CoinShares.

Matthew Sigel, VanEck’s head of digital asset research, projects an ambitious future for Ethereum. Sigel anticipates that the Ethereum network could generate up to $66 billion in annual free cash flow by 2030, potentially driving the price of ETH to a staggering $22,000 per token.

“Ethereum fundamentals look strong, and the recent inflection in ETF inflows indicates a solid revival of interest,” Bernstein noted.

The potential approval of staking yields for Ethereum ETFs marks a pivotal moment for the cryptocurrency market in the United States. By incorporating staking rewards, ETFs would not only offer exposure to the price movements of ETH but also provide investors with a steady yield, bridging the gap between traditional finance and decentralized finance (DeFi).

This development could position Ethereum ETFs as a preferred investment vehicle for both retail and institutional investors, fostering greater adoption and liquidity within the crypto ecosystem.

As the cryptocurrency market continues to evolve, the anticipated introduction of staking yields in Ethereum ETFs represents a landmark opportunity to redefine investment strategies. Under a Trump administration that prioritizes a pro-crypto regulatory environment, the United States could emerge as a global leader in digital asset innovation, setting a precedent for other jurisdictions.

The path forward hinges on regulatory clarity and the ability of the crypto industry to demonstrate the robustness and security of staking mechanisms. For now, all eyes are on the SEC and its forthcoming leadership to shape the future of Ethereum ETFs and the broader cryptocurrency market.

ETH

Ethereum Investment Funds Break Record in 2024 as Altcoins Gain Momentum

ETH investment funds have shattered their previous record, with net inflows of $2.2 billion in 2024, surpassing the cryptocurrency’s 2021 peak of roughly $2 billion, according to a Dec. 2 report by CoinShares. This milestone marks a significant shift in market sentiment toward Ethereum, reflecting a resurgence of investor confidence in the digital asset.

CoinShares attributed the record inflows to a “dramatic turnaround in sentiment” for Ethereum. The milestone was reached during a year of heightened investor interest in cryptocurrency-backed financial products. Total inflows into cryptocurrency investment products reached over $37 billion in 2024, setting a new annual record.

In the week starting Nov. 26 alone, cryptocurrency investment products recorded net inflows of $270 million. Ethereum was a standout performer, with inflows of $634 million during the period, signaling growing investor preference for ETH over Bitcoin.

The latest CoinShares report revealed a shift in investor focus from Bitcoin (BTC) to Ethereum. Bitcoin experienced outflows of $457 million during the same week, marking its first significant outflows since September 2024. This pivot from BTC to ETH could indicate the early stages of an “altcoin rotation,” where investors shift focus from Bitcoin to other cryptocurrencies.

Felix Hartmann, founder of Hartmann Capital, described the trend as a sign that Wall Street is “officially joining the fun” in the altcoin market. The enthusiasm for Ethereum was further highlighted by crypto commentator Ethereum Vibin, who noted in a post on X that “ETH ETF flows have flipped BTC ETF flows for the first time.”

The rotation toward Ethereum gained additional momentum after a landmark victory for Ethereum’s decentralized finance (DeFi) ecosystem in a United States court. This legal win bolstered confidence in Ethereum’s broader applications beyond cryptocurrency trading.

XRP Gains Ground Amid Ethereum’s Surge

While Ethereum dominated inflows, Ripple’s XRP also experienced a record-breaking week. XRP investment products saw inflows of nearly $100 million, the largest in its history. CoinShares attributed the surge to excitement around the possibility of an XRP exchange-traded fund (ETF) and growing optimism about Ripple’s role in a pro-crypto regulatory environment under President-elect Donald Trump.

The influx of capital into XRP propelled it past Solana (SOL) in market capitalization on Dec. 1. Shortly thereafter, XRP also surpassed Tether’s USDt (USDT), becoming the third-largest cryptocurrency by market cap. This milestone marks a significant achievement for Ripple, as the company positions XRP as a cornerstone of blockchain-based payments.

Ripple’s stablecoin project, RLUSD, has also drawn significant attention. The dollar-pegged, overcollateralized stablecoin project is anticipated to launch in early 2025, further fueling investor optimism.

The strong inflows into Ethereum and XRP indicate the growing interest in alternative cryptocurrencies as the market evolves. Ethereum’s DeFi ecosystem and staking capabilities, coupled with the possibility of ETF approvals, make it an attractive option for investors seeking diversified exposure.

Meanwhile, XRP’s ascent shows the increasing importance of blockchain technology in payments and stablecoin development. Ripple’s focus on regulatory compliance and strategic partnerships may further solidify its position in the cryptocurrency market.

Bitcoin’s outflows, though notable, do not signal waning interest in the leading cryptocurrency. Instead, they reflect a natural rotation of capital as investors explore opportunities in other digital assets. Bitcoin remains the dominant cryptocurrency by market cap, and its institutional adoption continues to grow.

The record-breaking inflows into Ethereum funds and the growing traction of XRP signal a transformative period for the cryptocurrency market. With the anticipated pro-crypto policies of President-elect Trump’s administration, 2025 could bring further regulatory clarity and expanded opportunities for cryptocurrency investment products.

As altcoins like Ethereum and XRP gain momentum, the cryptocurrency market appears poised for a new wave of innovation and adoption. Whether this marks the beginning of a sustained “alt season” or a temporary rotation remains to be seen, but the signs point to an exciting year ahead for digital assets.