Bitcoin is flashing conflicting signals, with a short-term breakdown pointing toward $57,500 while long-term support suggests a bottom may be forming. The next major move could decide whether BTC enters a deeper correction or starts a recovery toward $71,000.
Bitcoin Head-and-Shoulders Breakdown Targets $57.5K
Bitcoin has broken below the neckline of a four-hour head-and-shoulders pattern, putting the projected downside target near $57,500 in focus.
The chart shows BTC trading around $62,150 after losing both the rising neckline near $63,000 and the weekly 200-period moving average around $62,450. This breakdown strengthens the bearish setup, although Bitcoin still has another major support level near the monthly 50-period moving average at approximately $59,330.
BTC/USD 4-Hour Head-and-Shoulders Chart. Source: Super฿ro (@SuperBitcoinBro) on X
A move toward $57,500 would push BTC below that higher-time-frame support and could result in a weak second-quarter close. According to Super฿ro, that outcome may also leave Bitcoin exposed to further downside during the third quarter.
However, the bearish scenario could fail if buyers reclaim the neckline and push BTC above the right-shoulder area. The chart places the head-and-shoulders failure target near $71,000. Reaching that level would strongly suggest that Bitcoin has already established a local bottom.
For now, $59,300 is the main support standing between BTC and the $57,500 target, while a recovery above roughly $65,500 would begin weakening the bearish structure.
Bitcoin Returns to Historical Support as Bulls Eye a Breakout
Bitcoin is trading near the lower boundary of its long-term regression channel, an area that has previously aligned with major market bottoms.
Bitcoin Long-Term Linear Regression Channel. Source: Bitbo, shared by CW (@CW8900) on X
The chart tracks BTC’s price within three long-term levels: the red support line, the green linear regression fit and the purple resistance line. Bitcoin remains below the green regression line, suggesting that the market has not yet confirmed a strong bullish expansion.
According to analyst CW, previous major rallies gained momentum after BTC reclaimed the linear regression fit. Bitcoin failed to hold above that level during the current cycle, leaving the market in a consolidation phase rather than a confirmed long-term uptrend.
However, continued support near the lower channel boundary could create a base for another recovery. A decisive move above the green regression line would strengthen the bullish case and could signal the beginning of a broader rally. Losing the red support line would weaken this outlook and raise the risk of a deeper correction.
The analyst also points to continued whale accumulation as a potential source of future buying pressure, although the chart itself does not display accumulation data.
