US Inflation Rises to 3.8%, Higher Than Expectations; Bitcoin, XRP, ADA Price Decline

US inflation rose to 3.8% in April, above the 3.7% forecast, as energy costs lifted CPI and Bitcoin traded near $80,551.

US Inflation Hits 3.8%, Higher Than Expectations; Bitcoin, XRP Decline

US inflation rose faster than expected in April 2026, adding new pressure to financial markets and weakening hopes that the Federal Reserve will lower interest rates soon.

The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported Tuesday that the consumer price index increased 0.6% month over month and 3.8% year over year. Economists had expected annual inflation of 3.7%. The latest figure marked the highest annual CPI reading since May 2023.

Core CPI, which excludes food and energy, rose 0.4% for the month and 2.8% from a year earlier. That was also slightly above expectations and kept inflation well above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target.

Source: X

The rise in US inflation was driven largely by energy costs. Energy prices rose 3.8% in April and accounted for more than 40% of the monthly CPI gain. Gasoline prices increased 5.4% on the month and were up 28.4% from a year earlier, according to the report.

Food prices also moved higher. Food at home rose 0.7%, the largest monthly increase since August 2022. Fresh fruit and vegetable prices climbed sharply, reflecting higher transport and refrigeration costs tied to diesel and broader energy prices.

Energy Costs Push US Inflation Higher

The latest US inflation report showed that price pressure has moved beyond fuel alone. Shelter costs rose 0.6% in April after slowing in previous months. Shelter remains one of the largest components of CPI and continues to affect the overall inflation reading.

Airfares increased 2.8% on the month and were up 20.7% year over year, partly due to higher jet fuel costs. Apparel prices rose 0.6%, while household furnishings and operations increased 0.7%.

Some categories showed less pressure. New vehicle prices fell 0.2%, used car and truck prices were unchanged, and medical care costs declined 0.1%. Hospital services fell 0.3%, while health insurance dropped 0.4%.

The report also showed weaker real wage growth. Inflation-adjusted average hourly wages fell 0.5% in April and were down 0.3% from a year earlier. That marked the first annual decline in real hourly wages in about three years.

The energy shock has been linked to rising tensions in the Middle East and the U.S.-Iran conflict, which has kept oil prices elevated. Higher fuel costs have affected transport, food distribution, air travel and household budgets.

Bitcoin and Crypto Market React to CPI Data

Bitcoin traded near $80,551 after the CPI release, showing a brief decline of about 1.2% before stabilizing. The hotter-than-expected inflation data reduced expectations for near-term Federal Reserve rate cuts, a factor that often pressures risk assets.

Crypto markets have been sensitive to US inflation data because higher inflation can keep interest rates elevated. Higher rates usually make cash and government bonds more attractive compared with Bitcoin, Ethereum, and other digital assets.

Ethereum traded near $2,286, down about 2.3% on the day. The decline came as ETH remained under pressure from recent ETF outflows and a lack of strong follow-through above resistance levels.

XRP held near $1.46 and remained more stable than several other major altcoins. Traders continued to watch the $1.50 resistance area, while attention also remained on the Senate Banking Committee’s planned CLARITY Act vote on May 14.

BNB traded around $660.59, holding a small 24-hour gain but pulling back from earlier levels near $670. Cardano traded near $0.277, down about 1.15% as traders waited for clearer signals on rates and crypto regulation.

Fed Rate Cut Hopes Weaken After CPI

The US inflation report complicates the Federal Reserve’s policy path as Kevin Warsh prepares to replace Jerome Powell as Fed chair, pending final confirmation.

Markets had been watching whether inflation would slow enough to support rate cuts later in 2026. The April CPI data moved expectations in the opposite direction, with traders reducing bets on easing and some raising the probability of a future rate hike.

Treasury yields moved higher after the report. The two-year yield reached about 3.97%, the 10-year yield moved near 4.43%, and the 30-year yield touched 5.0%.

The Federal Reserve kept its policy rate unchanged at its most recent meeting. Officials remain split over the next move, with some policymakers open to tighter policy if inflation keeps rising.

The next Fed meeting is scheduled for June. The April US inflation data gives the central bank less room to justify near-term cuts unless future reports show cooling price pressure.

Subsequently, market pricing has also shifted after the CPI release. The odds of a Federal Reserve rate hike in 2026 rose to 31%, the highest level this year, after US inflation reached a three-year high. Earlier this year, traders had priced in more than three rate cuts for 2026. Those rate-cut expectations have now been removed, reflecting the market’s view that inflation may keep policy tighter for longer.