Solana Price Prediction: Can SOL Reclaim $200 Before Year-End?

Solana trades near key support as traders watch whether improving momentum can push SOL back toward $200 before the end of the year.

Solana has slipped back below $100, putting one of its most important price levels back in play. SOL was trading around $98.30 on Sept. 14, down roughly 2.2% on the day and about 4.7% over seven days as macro pressure and weaker ETF demand weighed on the market. tradingkey.com That makes $100 the immediate line to watch. Solana has already spent much of September testing this area, and Coinpaper recently highlighted the $97.70 breakout zone as the level separating a constructive recovery from a deeper pullback. Coinpaper What Happens Above $100? A convincing reclaim of $100 would not immediately put Solana back into a full bull trend. The first challenge sits around $106–$110, where previous price action and liquidation liquidity have created resistance. Beyond that, Coinpaper’s earlier technical work identified roughly $117–$120 as the next significant hurdle. Coinpaper That leaves a fairly clear roadmap: Scenario	SOL level	What it could mean Bearish	$80–$85	$98 support fails and the correction deepens Base	$95–$100	SOL remains stuck around the psychological level Bullish	$106–$120	Buyers regain momentum Breakout	Above $120	$145–$150 becomes a more realistic target   A move above $100 would therefore be encouraging, but the stronger confirmation would come from clearing the $106–$120 resistance area. ETF Demand Has Started to Cool Institutional demand is also sending mixed signals. Solana ETFs have attracted roughly $1.3 billion in cumulative net inflows, while Bitwise’s BSOL recently became the first U.S. Solana ETF to cross $1 billion in assets. Coinpaper covered that $1 billion ETF milestone earlier this month. Coinpaper But the latest flows have become less consistent. Solana ETFs recorded about $11.7 million of inflows on Sept. 9, followed by small net outflows on Sept. 10 and Sept. 11. SolanaFloor That matters because the August rally above $100 coincided with stronger institutional buying. A renewed ETF inflow streak would make another SOL breakout easier to sustain. Solana’s Network Is Telling a Different Story The more unusual angle is that price weakness is arriving while parts of the Solana network continue expanding. The number of addresses holding tokenized equities on Solana reportedly crossed 800,000 on Sept. 12, up from roughly 425,000 at the start of September—an increase of about 88% in less than two weeks. CryptoRank That creates a useful divergence. SOL price momentum has cooled, yet adoption around tokenized stocks is accelerating. If that activity develops into lasting demand rather than a short-lived spike, the network story could eventually become a stronger fundamental tailwind. Coinpaper has also tracked how ETF momentum previously helped SOL defend $100, making the current combination of weaker flows and stronger network activity particularly worth watching. Coinpaper Can Solana Reach $120 Again? The setup is straightforward. Above $100: $106–$110 comes first. Above $110: $117–$120 becomes the major test. Above $120: roughly $145–$150 moves back into view. Below $97: downside risk increases toward $80–$85. For now, Solana is caught between improving network fundamentals and a tougher market backdrop.

Solana is trading near $105 after rebounding from its summer lows, while a long-term chart breakout, rising derivatives activity and concentrated liquidity above the market are giving bulls a clearer path to watch. The immediate question is whether SOL can extend the recovery toward $150-$170 before the larger $280 resistance zone becomes relevant.

Solana Breakout Strengthens the Case for a $170 Target

Solana’s weekly chart shows price emerging from a long contraction that developed between a rising multiyear support line and descending resistance from the 2025 highs. The latest rebound has pushed SOL back above the falling trendline, improving the broader technical structure.

Solana SOL Weekly Breakout Toward $170. Source: Don (@DonWedge) on X

The chart, shared by trader Don, highlights $170 as the next major bullish objective and roughly $280 as a longer-term resistance target. Don summarized his view by saying SOL “wants $170,” reflecting a bullish interpretation of the breakout.

SOL was trading around $105.56 at the time of writing, up about 0.8% over 24 hours, according to CoinMarketCap. That leaves the $170 target roughly 61% above the current market price, meaning substantial confirmation would still be required before that level comes into play.

Momentum is improving. The weekly relative strength index shown on the chart has climbed to about 60, comfortably above the neutral 50 level without yet reaching the traditional overbought area above 70.

The bullish structure remains intact while SOL holds above the recently broken descending resistance and the rising long-term trendline. A move back below that breakout region would weaken the setup and raise the risk of another period of consolidation.

Solana Liquidation Heatmap Points to $145-$150 Liquidity

Derivatives positioning adds an interesting layer to the price setup. The liquidation heatmap shows a particularly dense concentration of liquidity around $145-$150, above SOL’s current price.

Solana Liquidation Heatmap Near $150. Source: CoinGlass./X

That zone matters because large liquidation concentrations can produce sharper price reactions when reached. They are not guaranteed targets, but they can become areas of interest as leveraged positions are forced to close.

Above $150, the heatmap shows further liquidity around $180-$200 and a substantial concentration closer to $240-$250. Those areas broadly fit the chart’s longer-term bullish structure, although SOL would need to clear each intermediate resistance zone before $280 becomes a realistic technical objective.

On the downside, notable liquidity remains around $60-$70. A major reversal below the current breakout structure would therefore change the bullish interpretation considerably.

Rising Solana Open Interest Raises the Stakes

Solana derivatives traders are also rebuilding exposure after a substantial reduction in leverage earlier in the cycle.

Solana Open Interest Rebounds With SOL Price. Source: CoinGlass

The open-interest chart shows outstanding Solana derivatives positions rising back toward roughly $6 billion-$7 billion after spending much of the recent period closer to the $4 billion-$5 billion region. Open interest remains far below its previous peak near $17 billion.

Increasing open interest alongside a rising SOL price can indicate fresh participation in the move. It does not automatically confirm bullish demand, however, because open interest includes both long and short positions. Higher leverage can also amplify volatility in either direction.

For the Solana price prediction, $145-$150 is now the first major upside area to watch. A convincing break through that liquidity and resistance zone would make Don’s $170 target more credible, while sustained strength beyond $170 could eventually shift attention toward the chart’s much larger $280 objective.