Solana Hits Oversold Levels as Traders Point to a 2022 Style Setup

Solana charts show oversold RSI signals as traders compare SOL’s 2026 setup to its $80 phase in 2022.

Solana has slipped back below $100, putting one of its most important price levels back in play. SOL was trading around $98.30 on Sept. 14, down roughly 2.2% on the day and about 4.7% over seven days as macro pressure and weaker ETF demand weighed on the market. tradingkey.com That makes $100 the immediate line to watch. Solana has already spent much of September testing this area, and Coinpaper recently highlighted the $97.70 breakout zone as the level separating a constructive recovery from a deeper pullback. Coinpaper What Happens Above $100? A convincing reclaim of $100 would not immediately put Solana back into a full bull trend. The first challenge sits around $106–$110, where previous price action and liquidation liquidity have created resistance. Beyond that, Coinpaper’s earlier technical work identified roughly $117–$120 as the next significant hurdle. Coinpaper That leaves a fairly clear roadmap: Scenario	SOL level	What it could mean Bearish	$80–$85	$98 support fails and the correction deepens Base	$95–$100	SOL remains stuck around the psychological level Bullish	$106–$120	Buyers regain momentum Breakout	Above $120	$145–$150 becomes a more realistic target   A move above $100 would therefore be encouraging, but the stronger confirmation would come from clearing the $106–$120 resistance area. ETF Demand Has Started to Cool Institutional demand is also sending mixed signals. Solana ETFs have attracted roughly $1.3 billion in cumulative net inflows, while Bitwise’s BSOL recently became the first U.S. Solana ETF to cross $1 billion in assets. Coinpaper covered that $1 billion ETF milestone earlier this month. Coinpaper But the latest flows have become less consistent. Solana ETFs recorded about $11.7 million of inflows on Sept. 9, followed by small net outflows on Sept. 10 and Sept. 11. SolanaFloor That matters because the August rally above $100 coincided with stronger institutional buying. A renewed ETF inflow streak would make another SOL breakout easier to sustain. Solana’s Network Is Telling a Different Story The more unusual angle is that price weakness is arriving while parts of the Solana network continue expanding. The number of addresses holding tokenized equities on Solana reportedly crossed 800,000 on Sept. 12, up from roughly 425,000 at the start of September—an increase of about 88% in less than two weeks. CryptoRank That creates a useful divergence. SOL price momentum has cooled, yet adoption around tokenized stocks is accelerating. If that activity develops into lasting demand rather than a short-lived spike, the network story could eventually become a stronger fundamental tailwind. Coinpaper has also tracked how ETF momentum previously helped SOL defend $100, making the current combination of weaker flows and stronger network activity particularly worth watching. Coinpaper Can Solana Reach $120 Again? The setup is straightforward. Above $100: $106–$110 comes first. Above $110: $117–$120 becomes the major test. Above $120: roughly $145–$150 moves back into view. Below $97: downside risk increases toward $80–$85. For now, Solana is caught between improving network fundamentals and a tougher market backdrop.

Solana’s selloff has pushed weekly momentum toward levels that two traders say matched past turning points. Now, both charts frame the $80s zone as a possible base before the next major move.

GalaxyBTC compares Solana’s 2026 setup to the $8 phase in 2022

Solana's weekly chart has started to resemble its 2022 structure that formed when SOL traded near $8, according to X user GalaxyBTC, who shared a TradingView snapshot dated Feb. 9.

Solana Weekly SOLUSD Chart. Source: GalaxyBTC on X

The chart shows SOL sliding into a long, downward sloping level marked in blue, which the post frames as a repeat of a prior cycle where price based for months before turning higher. At the same time, the analyst highlighted the 14 period RSI and urged traders to “check the RSI,” pointing to similar momentum behavior around earlier lows.

In the snapshot, RSI (14, close) sits near 37.26, while a lower reference marker appears near 29.39, which sits close to the oversold threshold. As a result, the post suggests weakening momentum may be reaching an exhaustion point, even as price remains under the descending level drawn across the weekly structure.

DonWedge says Solana bottom is set as SOL tests oversold RSI

Solana may have already printed its cycle low and could be preparing for another advance, according to crypto trader DonWedge, who shared a TradingView chart on X and said “the bottom is in” for SOL.

Solana 3 Day SOLUSD Chart. Source: DonWedge on X

The 3 day SOL U.S. dollar chart showed SOL near $83.99 at the time of the screenshot, down about 3.38% on the session. The analyst marked a steep decline from the late 2025 peak into early 2026, then overlaid a projected rebound path that rises toward the $400 area, with a label near 401.947.

At the same time, the chart’s RSI panel showed a reading near 27.68, which sits below the common 30 threshold often used to flag oversold conditions. As a result, the post framed the combination of the sharp drop and the weak momentum reading as evidence that selling pressure may have reached an exhaustion point.