S&P 500, Nasdaq Climb as 29K Jobs Miss Sends Stocks Higher

The S&P 500 and Nasdaq climbed after the U.S. added just 29,000 jobs in September, pushing Treasury yields lower and reducing Fed hike expectations.

S&P 500, Nasdaq Climb as 29K Jobs Miss Sends Stocks Higher

The economy added just 29,000 jobs in September, compared with roughly 90,000 expected, while the unemployment rate rose to 4.2% from 4.1%. August payroll growth was also revised down to 133,000 from the previously reported 162,000.

Markets treated the weak report as good news for risk assets. The S&P 500 rose about 0.9%, while the Nasdaq gained roughly 1.5%, putting the tech-heavy index near another record.

Fed Hike Odds Collapse After Jobs Miss

The biggest market reaction came from rates.

Fed funds futures moved to price less than a 20% chance of an October rate hike, down sharply from above 25% immediately before the report and much higher levels earlier in the week. December tightening remains possible, but the September data substantially strengthened the case for a pause.

Treasury yields fell in response. The 10-year yield dropped toward 5.18%, while the two-year yield slipped to roughly 4.72%.

That reverses some of the pressure that recently hit equities when the 10-year Treasury yield pushed above 5%.

S&P 500 and Nasdaq climbed over the past week, led by tech strength.
S&P 500 and Nasdaq climbed over the past week, led by tech strength.

Nasdaq Benefits Most From Falling Yields

Technology stocks were among the biggest beneficiaries because lower Treasury yields reduce the discount rate applied to future earnings.

The Nasdaq moved toward a new record close around 27,309, above its previous record of 27,244.28, with Nvidia also approaching its first record close since May.

That dynamic mirrors the recent S&P 500 and Nasdaq rally after softer PCE inflation, when falling yields similarly boosted growth stocks.